TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Green Bay Phoenix vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Campbell Fighting Camelsof Green Bay Phoenix, Campbell Fighting Camels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Green Bay Phoenix37c8,954$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.162,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Campbell Fighting Camels68c3,125$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.711,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels65c2,803$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.7323158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Campbell Fighting Camels64c2,794$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.861,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Green Bay Phoenix30c2,485$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.965,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels64c1,785$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Campbell Fighting Camels72c1,399$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Campbell Fighting Camels67c1,254$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.352,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Green Bay Phoenix33c1,100$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36311444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Green Bay Phoenix34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34029444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Green Bay Phoenix36c750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Green Bay Phoenix34c687.26$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6711439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Green Bay Phoenix34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1e…f3afbacked Green Bay Phoenix33c597.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Green Bay Phoenix29c535.82$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.51,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Campbell Fighting Camels68c516.08$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.465939%23 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Green Bay Phoenix35c500$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1772,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix34c494.34$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels67c488.76$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.084,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Campbell Fighting Camels74c407.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1610757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels64c391$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Green Bay Phoenix32c357.21$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5452928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Campbell Fighting Camels66c306.58$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.661,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Campbell Fighting Camels73c265.49$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Campbell Fighting Camels80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Campbell Fighting Camels63c223.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Green Bay Phoenix32c200.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.931,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Campbell Fighting Camels71c182.89$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.661,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Green Bay Phoenix39c144.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.421830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Green Bay Phoenix38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Green Bay Phoenix33c129.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2410037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Green Bay Phoenix27c109.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Green Bay Phoenix37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…56b6backed Green Bay Phoenix23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Campbell Fighting Camels67c99.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9918646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Green Bay Phoenix33c96.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.042,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6926…a128backed Campbell Fighting Camels67c92.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Campbell Fighting Camels67c92.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.423,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Green Bay Phoenix34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.625438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Green Bay Phoenix34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Green Bay Phoenix31c79.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8810049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Green Bay Phoenix32c72.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4521535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Green Bay Phoenix35c72.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e3…b595backed Green Bay Phoenix17c71.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Campbell Fighting Camels63c65.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.281,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked Green Bay Phoenix37c61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.572240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Green Bay Phoenix33c57.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x156f…6887backed Campbell Fighting Camels69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f1…907dbacked Green Bay Phoenix32c49.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.994228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5313…d8dfbacked Green Bay Phoenix32c43.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Campbell Fighting Camels67c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.534744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Green Bay Phoenix34c40.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.879838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Campbell Fighting Camels77c37.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.544,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9a…f0aabacked Campbell Fighting Camels69c31.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7464…d3b6backed Campbell Fighting Camels67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Campbell Fighting Camels69c22.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9248051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Campbell Fighting Camels68c21.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels69c17.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5196…0610backed Campbell Fighting Camels64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels80c12.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.567061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.