MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb85a914ce4912393bbcbc46c93a31f73938441a686c10eba67f80631d39c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Blue Jays, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 56c | 12,948$7,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250.84 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Royals | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 16c | 8,861$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 56c | 5,562$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Royals | 45c | 5,180$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.09 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Royals | 45c | 5,012$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Royals | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.97 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 4,009$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Royals | 44c | 3,915$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.48 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 44c | 2,933$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.76 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 72c | 2,290$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.21 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Royals | 44c | 2,270$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 16c | 2,167$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.41 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Royals | 45c | 2,004$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.1 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.94 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Blue Jays | 5c | 1,919$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blue Jays | 4c | 1,877$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Royals | 44c | 1,624$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,347$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.36 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals | 43c | 1,343$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.39 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 1,118$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.33 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.43 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,069$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.76 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Royals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Blue Jays | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 979.19$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.55 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Royals | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 56c | 764$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.21 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 56c | 656.07$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.36 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 44c | 596.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 43c | 520.52$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Blue Jays | 9c | 482.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 44c | 459.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays | 21c | 458.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 51c | 443.39$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Royals | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Blue Jays | 56c | 428.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays | 25c | 425.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Blue Jays | 56c | 390.98$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.86 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royals | 78c | 385$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 365$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.51 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Blue Jays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blue Jays | 54c | 357$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Royals | 45c | 350.32$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.68 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Blue Jays | 55c | 310$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 61c | 309.4$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.09 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Royals | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Blue Jays | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 45c | 291.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 17c | 270$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 255$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…a6f2backed Blue Jays | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…f0bbbacked Blue Jays | 11c | 244.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Royals | 45c | 243.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Blue Jays | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 44c | 218.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…9e04backed Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…8cb6backed Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…9b5dbacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Royalsthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.