NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bed203ea4fd1ebe64f0a5854fc2ba0538bb72ea9127b25c97da5acefe4e0f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Stars, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 56c | 10,518$5,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,868.65 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 6,016$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.86 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.07 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.19 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Stars | 56c | 1,135$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.44 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Stars | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blackhawks | 68c | 456$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Blackhawks | 44c | 390.65$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 388.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Stars | 56c | 357.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Stars | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 66c | 249.69$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Stars | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Stars | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks | 45c | 167.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Stars | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Blackhawks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 97.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars | 53c | 95.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Stars | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blackhawks | 45c | 88.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 71.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Stars | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 65c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Stars | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Blackhawks | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Blackhawks | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Blackhawks | 45c | 48.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Blackhawks | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Blackhawks | 45c | 46.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Stars | 56c | 45.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Stars | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Stars | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 54c | 42.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Stars | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Stars | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Blackhawks | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Blackhawks | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Blackhawks | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Blackhawks | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Stars | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Stars | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Stars | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2e…9bd4backed Blackhawks | 46c | 30.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Stars | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…5a62backed Blackhawks | 46c | 27.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458b…67edbacked Stars | 55c | 26.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fba…e0f1backed Blackhawks | 47c | 26.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…bdbabacked Stars | 55c | 26.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa3…b15bbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 26.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…ae78backed Stars | 55c | 23.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa12e…e4ecbacked Stars | 56c | 21.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…09f6backed Blackhawks | 47c | 21.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…fe3ebacked Stars | 55c | 21.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…64d4backed Stars | 55c | 21.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…def1backed Stars | 56c | 21.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Stars | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Stars | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Stars | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Stars | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. StarsBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.