Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x021c4a416307bbd4be0de09f96ee862ad0d5b11bcc47f56bdcff51ed2faf6dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Titansof Robert Morris Colonials, Detroit Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,405 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Detroit Titans | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 11,828$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.84 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Detroit Titans | 55c | 6,070$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.8 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 2,589$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 2,586$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.57 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 1,499$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.69 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 44c | 644.87$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Robert Morris Colonials | 21c | 602.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 600.1$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Detroit Titans | 54c | 567.81$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 44c | 509$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Robert Morris Colonials | 53c | 465.69$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Detroit Titans | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 399.13$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 377.68$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 323.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Detroit Titans | 47c | 236$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 222.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Detroit Titans | 54c | 200.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Detroit Titans | 53c | 187.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Robert Morris Colonials | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Robert Morris Colonials | 27c | 76.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Detroit Titans | 53c | 74.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Robert Morris Colonials | 44c | 72.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 71.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 52.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 44.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Detroit Titans | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Detroit Titans | 56c | 29.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Robert Morris Colonials | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 27.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)this page
- Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris ColonialsDetroit Titans won
- Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris Colonials: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-4.5)Detroit Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.