Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e22a14c4f40ffb1564779b72b083e71f444a726bb4348d6c247825e0c6e03ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Titansof Robert Morris Colonials, Detroit Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,104 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 3,534$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.72 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 1,078$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 832.65$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 495.63$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 365.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 111.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Detroit Titans | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Robert Morris Colonials | 50c | 87.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Titans | 47c | 70.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Robert Morris Colonials | 52c | 54.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Robert Morris Colonials | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Titans | 47c | 29.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 53c | 27.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 26.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Detroit Titans | 52c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-4.5)this page
- Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris ColonialsDetroit Titans won
- Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris Colonials: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)Detroit Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.