Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00b6f119286bedde323ee084a3452858aecf43bb21dd01b36602ecaecd9456c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Kansas Jayhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 9,241$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.07 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Iowa State Cyclones | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.25 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Kansas Jayhawks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Iowa State Cyclones | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Kansas Jayhawks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Iowa State Cyclones | 55c | 930.57$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 864.28$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.33 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 520.62$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.28 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 432.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 356.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 46c | 355.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa State Cyclones | 43c | 288.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 282.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…9511backed Iowa State Cyclones | 57c | 275.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 248.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Iowa State Cyclones | 55c | 217$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Iowa State Cyclones | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 172.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 153.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Iowa State Cyclones | 56c | 96.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0e…152ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 77c | 95.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Iowa State Cyclones | 46c | 55.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Kansas Jayhawks | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Iowa State Cyclones | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 33.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Iowa State Cyclones | 54c | 29.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 19.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5)this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State CyclonesIowa State Cyclones won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 145.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-7.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.