NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa40c0dbbcdad225047970bc337dadb45bf662a2b01b50bf3e1ceced6bb074205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99b9…a126backed Under | 50c | 4,688$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…8630backed Under | 52c | 4,655$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…6950backed Over | 48c | 4,622$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…f6d4backed Over | 50c | 4,370$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,286$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8abfbacked Over | 48c | 4,256$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…3762backed Over | 48c | 4,253$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…95d0backed Over | 48c | 4,250$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…6b72backed Under | 52c | 4,250$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0df…f038backed Over | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…c1a3backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…606fbacked Over | 48c | 3,985$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…2625backed Under | 52c | 3,922$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc9…df1abacked Under | 52c | 3,899$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…335ebacked Under | 50c | 3,882$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…cc1fbacked Over | 49c | 3,728$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…a554backed Over | 49c | 3,515$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…f8f6backed Over | 49c | 3,466$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4af…9598backed Over | 49c | 3,455$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…5ed3backed Over | 48c | 3,326$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…77c8backed Under | 52c | 3,122$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe80…a6a3backed Over | 49c | 3,011$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c16abacked Over | 49c | 2,899$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f0…f3b6backed Over | 49c | 2,866$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5009…408abacked Under | 52c | 2,855$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e2…3d94backed Over | 48c | 2,766$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 2,709$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.75 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…21b3backed Over | 49c | 2,668$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.68 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…803fbacked Over | 49c | 2,616$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…c226backed Over | 49c | 2,563$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe98…bd12backed Over | 49c | 2,525$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…1515backed Over | 49c | 2,455$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…9c26backed Under | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…7d65backed Under | 51c | 2,305$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…c1dbbacked Over | 48c | 2,256$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…25b4backed Under | 52c | 2,233$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…abb7backed Over | 48c | 2,122$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…57bdbacked Over | 48c | 2,074$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…4c8ebacked Over | 50c | 2,055$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…0bd2backed Under | 50c | 2,033$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…14dfbacked Under | 52c | 1,955$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…c2c9backed Under | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8c95backed Under | 50c | 1,788$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1df…615ebacked Under | 52c | 1,788$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f81…e16dbacked Over | 50c | 1,774$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…21a4backed Under | 51c | 1,772$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…78e8backed Under | 51c | 1,769$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…a90fbacked Under | 51c | 1,766$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae7…8ddfbacked Under | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…8c05backed Under | 50c | 1,669$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…5933backed Over | 50c | 1,645$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…2f38backed Under | 51c | 1,634$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9142…49e4backed Over | 48c | 1,623$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…bdacbacked Under | 51c | 1,622$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…04b1backed Under | 51c | 1,622$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…e200backed Under | 51c | 1,606$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…c80abacked Under | 51c | 1,603$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…1ebfbacked Under | 51c | 1,602$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdb…a7d5backed Under | 51c | 1,581$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefd2…1ca8backed Under | 51c | 1,564$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebbd…cbacbacked Over | 50c | 1,525$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe4…0cacbacked Under | 50c | 1,468$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…2662backed Over | 48c | 1,446$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…78d5backed Under | 51c | 1,414$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…14f6backed Under | 51c | 1,414$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4603backed Under | 51c | 1,408$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd367…6887backed Under | 51c | 1,401$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa767…68e5backed Under | 51c | 1,401$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…72bcbacked Under | 51c | 1,388$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…260dbacked Under | 51c | 1,388$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cf…ec19backed Under | 51c | 1,233$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…12b2backed Under | 51c | 1,201$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 47c | 1,161$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.69 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…eb82backed Under | 51c | 1,144$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 1,089$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 44c | 897.73$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…cab0backed Over | 49c | 868$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…71ebbacked Under | 51c | 826$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 768.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.93 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…e3b3backed Under | 51c | 754$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…fe12backed Over | 49c | 712$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 53c | 702.3$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.08 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4f53backed Over | 49c | 692$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…c942backed Under | 51c | 678$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 55c | 670$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…27acbacked Under | 51c | 577$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…2d24backed Over | 49c | 577$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6e…b258backed Over | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 386.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 76c | 384.07$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…890cbacked Under | 51c | 383$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…66b8backed Under | 51c | 349$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…f03ebacked Over | 49c | 268$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 244.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 217.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebe…b02dbacked Under | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29e…6cedbacked Over | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Raptors won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
- Timberwolves vs. RaptorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.