TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,791 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99b9…a126backed Under50c4,688$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e9…8630backed Under52c4,655$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0d…6950backed Over48c4,622$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d6…f6d4backed Over50c4,370$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c4,286$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e46…8abfbacked Over48c4,256$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc3…3762backed Over48c4,253$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…95d0backed Over48c4,250$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6c…6b72backed Under52c4,250$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0df…f038backed Over50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1372…c1a3backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1471…606fbacked Over48c3,985$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…2625backed Under52c3,922$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc9…df1abacked Under52c3,899$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f9…335ebacked Under50c3,882$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4dd…cc1fbacked Over49c3,728$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…a554backed Over49c3,515$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…f8f6backed Over49c3,466$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4af…9598backed Over49c3,455$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ed…5ed3backed Over48c3,326$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…77c8backed Under52c3,122$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe80…a6a3backed Over49c3,011$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6956…c16abacked Over49c2,899$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f0…f3b6backed Over49c2,866$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5009…408abacked Under52c2,855$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e2…3d94backed Over48c2,766$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c2,709$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.751,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7286…21b3backed Over49c2,668$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.686100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7536…803fbacked Over49c2,616$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…c226backed Over49c2,563$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe98…bd12backed Over49c2,525$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…1515backed Over49c2,455$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f15…9c26backed Under52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa680…7d65backed Under51c2,305$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb086…c1dbbacked Over48c2,256$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0f…25b4backed Under52c2,233$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf5…abb7backed Over48c2,122$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e1…57bdbacked Over48c2,074$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d7…4c8ebacked Over50c2,055$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fab…0bd2backed Under50c2,033$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3b…14dfbacked Under52c1,955$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3461…c2c9backed Under52c1,900$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…8c95backed Under50c1,788$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1df…615ebacked Under52c1,788$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f81…e16dbacked Over50c1,774$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc88…21a4backed Under51c1,772$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c7…78e8backed Under51c1,769$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…a90fbacked Under51c1,766$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae7…8ddfbacked Under51c1,747$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c6…8c05backed Under50c1,669$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31d6…5933backed Over50c1,645$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bf…2f38backed Under51c1,634$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9142…49e4backed Over48c1,623$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9237…bdacbacked Under51c1,622$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca44…04b1backed Under51c1,622$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e20…e200backed Under51c1,606$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…c80abacked Under51c1,603$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd28…1ebfbacked Under51c1,602$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabdb…a7d5backed Under51c1,581$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefd2…1ca8backed Under51c1,564$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebbd…cbacbacked Over50c1,525$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbe4…0cacbacked Under50c1,468$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x627f…2662backed Over48c1,446$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…78d5backed Under51c1,414$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3f5…14f6backed Under51c1,414$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4603backed Under51c1,408$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd367…6887backed Under51c1,401$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa767…68e5backed Under51c1,401$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b0…72bcbacked Under51c1,388$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0fa…260dbacked Under51c1,388$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cf…ec19backed Under51c1,233$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…12b2backed Under51c1,201$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under47c1,161$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.6946145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e56…eb82backed Under51c1,144$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c1,089$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.962,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under44c897.73$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3958158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba73…cab0backed Over49c868$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dee…71ebbacked Under51c826$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c768.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.931,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd0c…e3b3backed Under51c754$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0140…fe12backed Over49c712$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over53c702.3$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.081,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3461…4f53backed Over49c692$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e4…c942backed Under51c678$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under55c670$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under51c627.45$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb17a…27acbacked Under51c577$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7123…2d24backed Over49c577$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6e…b258backed Over49c450$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c386.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over76c384.07$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.313,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ca…890cbacked Under51c383$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c73…66b8backed Under51c349$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x697e…f03ebacked Over49c268$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c244.35$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c217.28$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.812,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ebe…b02dbacked Under50c214$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa29e…6cedbacked Over50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.