Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia Bellucci
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x568100a7a17461351f9020bb9bd9c8d63d9326de7e2d7185a4747da523ba2c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nakashimaof Nakashima, Bellucci
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bellucci | 30c | 23,546$6,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.02 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nakashima | 80c | 21,686$17,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.19 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bellucci | 14c | 21,451$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.91 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Nakashima | 70c | 21,234$14,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.28 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bellucci | 29c | 10,950$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.53 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…a4eebacked Nakashima | 72c | 5,231$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bellucci | 30c | 4,813$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.36 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Nakashima | 75c | 4,112$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bellucci | 13c | 4,041$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.05 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bellucci | 12c | 2,677$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.78 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Nakashima | 69c | 2,483$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.75 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bellucci | 12c | 1,863$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bellucci | 31c | 1,449$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.1 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bellucci | 23c | 1,429$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.37 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Nakashima | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bellucci | 12c | 1,150$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Bellucci | 29c | 1,026$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Nakashima | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Bellucci | 29c | 965.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Nakashima | 69c | 956.52$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.52 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bellucci | 31c | 903.21$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…7852backed Nakashima | 70c | 840.6$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bellucci | 20c | 747.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…b911backed Nakashima | 69c | 739.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…1a66backed Nakashima | 69c | 724.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.63 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Nakashima | 73c | 676.92$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bellucci | 29c | 634.59$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bellucci | 24c | 579.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Bellucci | 29c | 566$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Nakashima | 78c | 541.87$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bellucci | 30c | 526.22$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bellucci | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Bellucci | 32c | 403.79$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Nakashima | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 179 | 55.9%100 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Nakashima | 75c | 357.79$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bellucci | 24c | 330.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bellucci | 10c | 312.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Nakashima | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Nakashima | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Nakashima | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bellucci | 31c | 249.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Nakashima | 70c | 227.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Nakashima | 68c | 188.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bellucci | 31c | 183.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Nakashima | 71c | 176.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Nakashima | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Nakashima | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a4cdbacked Nakashima | 70c | 143.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…8ea5backed Nakashima | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Nakashima | 72c | 138.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Nakashima | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bellucci | 31c | 130.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bellucci | 32c | 123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Bellucci | 22c | 111.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Nakashima | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Nakashima | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bellucci | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Nakashima | 77c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Nakashima | 72c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Bellucci | 32c | 98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bellucci | 18c | 93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bellucci | 16c | 92.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Nakashima | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Bellucci | 31c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bellucci | 30c | 78.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Nakashima | 73c | 73.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Nakashima | 69c | 73.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Nakashima | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa0…f987backed Nakashima | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Nakashima | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Bellucci | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bellucci | 28c | 68.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nakashima | 78c | 68.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Nakashima | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Bellucci | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bellucci | 30c | 60.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Nakashima | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Nakashima | 69c | 58.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Nakashima | 69c | 55.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Bellucci | 32c | 55.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Nakashima | 67c | 54.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Nakashima | 69c | 53.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Nakashima | 68c | 45.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bellucci | 33c | 43.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bellucci | 27c | 43.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Nakashima | 75c | 41.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 168 | 70.8%119 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bellucci | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Nakashima | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Nakashima | 71c | 31.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Nakashima | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Nakashima | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Nakashima | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Nakashima | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Nakashima | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Nakashima | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf358…d71cbacked Nakashima | 68c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…9608backed Nakashima | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Nakashima | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Nakashima | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Nakashima | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia Belluccithis page
- Nakashima vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Nakashima vs. Bellucci: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)Nakashima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.