Euroleague · resolved market
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Partizan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58175702948378e61f09c269678a873c5f27a3edf961de1893157f3e32b3beda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizanof FC Bayern Munchen, Partizan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed FC Bayern Munchen | 66c | 2,271$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.53 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Partizan | 47c | 1,553$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Partizan | 45c | 1,468$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.71 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 59c | 1,381$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.02 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed FC Bayern Munchen | 76c | 859$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed Partizan | 28c | 789$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Partizan | 65c | 779.02$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Partizan | 35c | 678.28$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.14 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FC Bayern Munchen | 41c | 660.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 59c | 653.19$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.38 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Partizan | 31c | 519.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Partizan | 48c | 417.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed FC Bayern Munchen | 75c | 372$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Partizan | 25c | 333$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Partizan | 26c | 269.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Partizan | 44c | 234$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Partizan | 39c | 186.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 72c | 147.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Partizan | 39c | 134.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Partizan | 40c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 68c | 106.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed FC Bayern Munchen | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 74c | 99.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Partizan | 27c | 78.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Partizan | 39c | 74.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 65.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Partizan | 42c | 48.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Partizan | 38c | 41.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…d3dbbacked Partizan | 27c | 41.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Partizan | 36c | 33.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Bayern Munchen | 74c | 31.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed FC Bayern Munchen | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa854…6e4fbacked Partizan | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.