TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c38,124$15,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,943.8813933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c16,090$9,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,736.6628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c9,044$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.9746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c6,954$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.9247850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c2,461$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.5843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes42c1,357$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No66c1,291$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked Yes42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No56c999.56$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.812259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c959.58$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes24c835.95$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3514843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes30c610$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed Yes34c428.63$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.993318.2%6 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c346.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8422852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No66c314.41$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.793773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No79c284.04$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.593250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c254$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2130055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes42c235.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No56c199.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.996746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c174$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0816858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No58c166.87$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.291668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No74c152.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1411063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes15c150.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0412532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes19c141.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.83345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes12c130.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Yes21c107.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes29c97.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.644647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No58c84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.286460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No58c84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.283174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+41.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No58c84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed No61c82.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Yes22c76.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes16c67.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No74c66.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1316865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No58c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.726253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No58c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.725156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No58c64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.884946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No58c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.524656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No58c55.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.426453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Yes44c45.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.912142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No58c42.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.845255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No58c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.963253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No58c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.123458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.283360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.283855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.284459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.284050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.283956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No58c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.443158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.083658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.083652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.083852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.083751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed No61c21.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41580%12 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.