Euroleague · resolved market
Fenerbahce vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7757874a455e22916de518330e95443c44bd5f46f47639874c25fd25101e7a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Fenerbahce, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 1,819$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 1,687$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.33 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Saski Baskonia | 16c | 1,501$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Saski Baskonia | 20c | 1,078$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Saski Baskonia | 10c | 782.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Saski Baskonia | 17c | 679.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Saski Baskonia | 19c | 645.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Saski Baskonia | 17c | 539.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 498.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Saski Baskonia | 19c | 418.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saski Baskonia | 19c | 281$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Saski Baskonia | 13c | 208.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Saski Baskonia | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 149.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 131.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 103.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…1f6bbacked Saski Baskonia | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…d067backed Fenerbahce | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.