Euroleague · resolved market
Virtus Bologna vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e565c828be1e756b043fe5d61f631b12c64c39cd8255367dd551c4a6d490e88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof Virtus Bologna, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Virtus Bologna | 55c | 2,244$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.23 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…e06dbacked Virtus Bologna | 50c | 2,123$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Virtus Bologna | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 45c | 1,330$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.49 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Virtus Bologna | 37c | 1,204$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.63 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 1,130$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 1,062$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.6 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus Bologna | 53c | 657.42$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.36 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed Virtus Bologna | 33c | 640$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 465$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 45c | 454.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.55 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virtus Bologna | 54c | 409$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.35 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 63c | 399.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Virtus Bologna | 53c | 375.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 373.17$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…84bfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 45c | 341.41$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Virtus Bologna | 50c | 324.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 264.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 226.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 197.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 189.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Virtus Bologna | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Virtus Bologna | 53c | 172.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 53c | 147.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus Bologna | 53c | 137.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 126.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Virtus Bologna | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Virtus Bologna | 41c | 121.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Virtus Bologna | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Virtus Bologna | 54c | 117$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Virtus Bologna | 56c | 109$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Virtus Bologna | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Virtus Bologna | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Virtus Bologna | 55c | 95.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 87.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…7d2ebacked Virtus Bologna | 27c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus Bologna | 21c | 68.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Virtus Bologna | 53c | 64.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Virtus Bologna | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 57.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Virtus Bologna | 33c | 43.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Virtus Bologna | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…ffedbacked Virtus Bologna | 40c | 36.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Virtus Bologna | 54c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Virtus Bologna | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 23.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Virtus Bologna | 53c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.