Euroleague · resolved market
Monaco vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1592570d33379eaec75a3b633a9772920a12b1e7e5f96e000506cb81467cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof Monaco, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Monaco | 77c | 1,627$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.86 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Monaco | 64c | 1,254$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.21 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 1,091$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.68 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 25c | 1,030$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 32c | 885.35$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.97 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monaco | 72c | 883.48$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.69 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 630.25$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…9878backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 52c | 614.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Monaco | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 7c | 507.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.15 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 384.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Monaco | 53c | 269.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Monaco | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 249.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 75c | 242.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…7d2ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 7c | 215.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 32c | 209.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 207.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 78c | 194.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Monaco | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Monaco | 73c | 128.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Monaco | 74c | 111.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Monaco | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Monaco | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Monaco | 47c | 89.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Monaco | 40c | 83.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Monaco | 39c | 77.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 41c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 56.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 28c | 49.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 40.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Monaco | 67c | 32.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Monaco | 56c | 29.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Monaco | 42c | 23.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Monaco | 55c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.