TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
QUAZARof QUAZAR, eternal premium
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked QUAZAR74c16,674$12,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.745,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed QUAZAR74c11,209$8,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.432,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed eternal premium27c3,843$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0286251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed eternal premium25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed eternal premium25c2,919$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.9838739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked QUAZAR76c2,340$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.3934559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked eternal premium25c2,033$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.827940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed eternal premium26c1,945$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.622044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed eternal premium23c1,741$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.045,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed eternal premium25c1,189$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed QUAZAR72c1,138$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.472,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed eternal premium27c1,017$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.091,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed eternal premium26c999.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9921945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked eternal premium26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked QUAZAR72c936.07$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.16972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed eternal premium26c850.26$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.825147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed eternal premium27c795.71$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2548240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed eternal premium26c733.8$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.813050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed eternal premium24c714.24$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8624840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed eternal premium25c710.46$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.115349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed eternal premium26c671.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9916346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed eternal premium25c654.32$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.582347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed eternal premium28c652.55$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2819840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed QUAZAR75c644.12$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.154,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed eternal premium24c612.67$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed eternal premium25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed eternal premium26c581.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed QUAZAR75c563.22$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3926650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked eternal premium25c509.69$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.423046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed QUAZAR75c500.17$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0539245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf868…3b45backed eternal premium5c477.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8611841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed eternal premium28c454.68$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5444244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed QUAZAR75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10074054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5a…9ef7backed eternal premium29c335.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.216939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked eternal premium25c325.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5122729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked eternal premium14c324.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.521,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33b…c8f2backed eternal premium26c315.2$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.73333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked eternal premium27c314.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.977,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed eternal premium24c313.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2723732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked eternal premium28c300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.691945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked eternal premium25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed eternal premium26c284.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7285446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed eternal premium28c284.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4946243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed eternal premium32c278.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3441050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked QUAZAR73c270$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.922447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed QUAZAR75c263.35$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8426251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked eternal premium27c254.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6854543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed QUAZAR75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.520750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea91…2a69backed eternal premium28c247.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.64119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.8wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-83.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked eternal premium24c244.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.676437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe00f…0ae8backed eternal premium26c240.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.622334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed eternal premium25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607935.4%28 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed eternal premium25c231.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.954438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bb…b1e7backed eternal premium28c228.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed eternal premium28c221.84$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6140639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed eternal premium28c219.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.513738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked eternal premium28c217.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6135745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed eternal premium43c207.02$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed eternal premium20c205$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4159343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcded…826bbacked eternal premium25c204$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-79.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked eternal premium25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked eternal premium22c195.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.274,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed eternal premium24c173.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1521744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked eternal premium31c170.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.861850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed eternal premium25c165$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2511745.3%53 W · 64 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked eternal premium28c164.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.051,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed eternal premium25c158.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.712944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed QUAZAR75c157.3$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3159049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed QUAZAR72c139.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.642,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…5491backed eternal premium25c138.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.532751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…7541backed QUAZAR74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed QUAZAR70c131$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7250056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked eternal premium25c125.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2812846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked eternal premium9c116.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.065,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked eternal premium28c115$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked QUAZAR73c114.28$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1874653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked eternal premium20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea4c…c997backed eternal premium25c108$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked QUAZAR76c106.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.551,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed eternal premium24c102.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6114443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed eternal premium25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2565946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked eternal premium12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.531845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed QUAZAR71c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.540155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed QUAZAR74c92.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7937855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed eternal premium26c92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked eternal premium34c89.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5991648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7afb…ff15backed eternal premium16c82.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.413724.3%9 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked eternal premium27c78.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.337540%30 W · 45 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed eternal premium31c70.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked eternal premium31c69.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.463541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0122…44e1backed QUAZAR74c67.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.434254.8%23 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed eternal premium28c62.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.632544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked eternal premium26c61.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked QUAZAR73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7944675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd7…0a43backed QUAZAR74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.051764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked QUAZAR74c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7865548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed eternal premium24c45.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed QUAZAR72c44.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4516363.2%103 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed QUAZAR76c42.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.136475%48 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked QUAZAR75c40.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1632447.2%153 W · 171 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.