TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lavkedof 100 Thieves, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves75c5,018$3,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,763.784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed 100 Thieves42c4,193$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.9684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lavked62c4,020$2,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.153,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Lavked60c3,085$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.886544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Lavked58c2,197$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.24957.1%28 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf6a…925fbacked 100 Thieves41c2,191$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.775742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed 100 Thieves30c2,183$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.7419329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves37c2,077$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.61,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked 100 Thieves43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Lavked42c2,000$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.3613545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lavked26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.971,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves48c1,996$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.642,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves43c1,660$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.991,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Lavked25c1,600$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20012426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lavked65c1,513$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.361,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Lavked24c1,508$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.721,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves42c1,347$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.3866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6f…959abacked Lavked58c1,327$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.283363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked 100 Thieves36c1,205$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.281,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x592c…2824backed 100 Thieves10c1,123$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.042123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked Lavked26c999.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.989153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Lavked70c899.99$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26835861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Lavked22c897$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.6634943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked59c844.25$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.772,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lavked25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves43c797.51$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.012,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Lavked25c776$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5823354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Lavked54c756.16$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked59c753.73$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.011,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Lavked28c749.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.982751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Lavked59c706.1$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.075,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves32c678.34$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.712,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Lavked59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.971850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 100 Thieves48c654.43$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.231,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed 100 Thieves43c624.24$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4264854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves46c619$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.153,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 100 Thieves78c616.92$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.229044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…dc15backed 100 Thieves42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked60c596.75$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.322,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves72c570.5$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.765,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked 100 Thieves42c563.85$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1416355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked55c549.41$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.135,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Lavked58c546.05$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9732832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Lavked63c546$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5461837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec8…e91abacked Lavked73c545.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.762832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves33c534.12$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.754,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc24d…907dbacked Lavked25c525$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lavked62c519$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.522,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Lavked68c514.7$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.720462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Lavked62c504.63$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.941,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Lavked28c500.1$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0726650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed 100 Thieves42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21067651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Lavked38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31024942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked 100 Thieves42c462$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0420643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc3…1fa2backed Lavked25c456$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+168.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed 100 Thieves43c440.87$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.175464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Lavked58c431.59$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1548319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed 100 Thieves41c424.18$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.791,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Lavked53c423.12$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6725934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed Lavked54c400$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18518450%92 W · 92 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Lavked25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked 100 Thieves75c372.37$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.282055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves39c351.4$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.836,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed 100 Thieves42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked 100 Thieves40c337.45$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6716920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked 100 Thieves72c330$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.610062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Lavked52c327$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9650358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb533…629fbacked Lavked57c307.97$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.39922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-59.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed 100 Thieves40c284.63$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5518054.4%98 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Lavked58c279.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.41,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed 100 Thieves38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Lavked28c260$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.22,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57bc…c211backed 100 Thieves33c260$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed 100 Thieves43c257.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11133237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked 100 Thieves76c255.11$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8814971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed Lavked69c253.62$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.625072%36 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd794…a787backed 100 Thieves42c250$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+74.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe597…abb9backed 100 Thieves41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe91…59c8backed 100 Thieves42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked 100 Thieves44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Lavked67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked 100 Thieves27c249.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3212950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked 100 Thieves43c247.61$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0714939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea91…2a69backed 100 Thieves72c243.06$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.8wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-83.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Lavked25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Lavked58c240$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7218057.2%103 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked 100 Thieves43c237.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.998048.8%39 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0db0…6424backed 100 Thieves43c236$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.486744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4216…b40cbacked 100 Thieves42c234.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c1…0b81backed 100 Thieves76c233.48$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed 100 Thieves43c232.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9823335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Lavked58c230.52$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8248845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked Lavked53c227.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.165226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Lavked22c225.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4912244.3%54 W · 68 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4d…4f6bbacked Lavked70c214.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.54571.1%32 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked 100 Thieves59c211.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed 100 Thieves46c208.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9118043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Lavked62c207.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.242,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked 100 Thieves76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15215747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Lavked25c199.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9922729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.