CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe42e5bfb2c5536bb15708aea5cb1e64d0f2f08eeb971dd9fc21c8152a3b14550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof 100 Thieves, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 2,878$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.96 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 41c | 1,250$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.94 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 1,115$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.45 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 48c | 936.84$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.04 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 77c | 720$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 638.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lavked | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 76c | 591.6$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Lavked | 51c | 558.16$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 69c | 363.41$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lavked | 64c | 288.08$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 261.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 64c | 259.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Lavked | 52c | 193.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Lavked | 68c | 162.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 153.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lavked | 60c | 144.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Lavked | 53c | 140.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 128$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 115.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 108.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 99.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 90.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 76c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 86.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked 100 Thieves | 23c | 75.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 53.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 52.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…7e01backed Lavked | 62c | 47.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Lavked | 51c | 24.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked | 61c | 23.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)Lavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.