CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: m1x vs Dripmen (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57267a109a2a180ea7746eaed8322b281f193e7ffa03bcd3d53dbe95abc02618
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- m1xof m1x, Dripmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb242…c199backed Dripmen | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked m1x | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dripmen | 12c | 1,110$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dripmen | 15c | 887.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Dripmen | 11c | 382.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dripmen | 17c | 350.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Dripmen | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Dripmen | 15c | 198.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Dripmen | 12c | 183$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Dripmen | 19c | 172.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed m1x | 56c | 148.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Dripmen | 45c | 119.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed m1x | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked m1x | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Dripmen | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Dripmen | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed m1x | 56c | 99.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea91…2a69backed Dripmen | 45c | 80.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Dripmen | 39c | 67.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed m1x | 61c | 64.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Dripmen | 43c | 57.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed m1x | 55c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…b48dbacked m1x | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked m1x | 76c | 35.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed m1x | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked m1x | 56c | 18.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked m1x | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: m1x vs Dripmen (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)m1x won
- Map Handicap: m1x (-1.5) vs Dripmen (+1.5)m1x won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.