CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: m1x (-1.5) vs Dripmen (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x926f9d5a8dd00476fb44c3bb53399f5fa5fe7bae0ba3d6a8680ededb0d787570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- m1xof m1x, Dripmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Dripmen | 1c | 10,131$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed m1x | 73c | 5,529$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.36 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…2618backed Dripmen | 7c | 4,904$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Dripmen | 4c | 4,002$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Dripmen | 45c | 3,650$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed Dripmen | 1c | 3,160$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Dripmen | 10c | 2,565$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +158%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Dripmen | 3c | 1,321$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…4e3ebacked Dripmen | 45c | 1,213$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Dripmen | 4c | 997$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…43e0backed Dripmen | 2c | 623.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…4dafbacked Dripmen | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Dripmen | 39c | 351$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…6498backed m1x | 52c | 57.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed m1x | 57c | 35.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed m1x | 67c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | +15.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed m1x | 72c | 18.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4be1backed m1x | 62c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: m1x (-1.5) vs Dripmen (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: m1x vs Dripmen (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsm1x won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)m1x won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.