CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1580602a318e9911714f7b7a7c0cd2de3038fc765197bc516235446a5abc5f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Fisher College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Fisher College | 3c | 40,000$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.23 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Fisher College | 3c | 9,517$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.89 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f9…1c2bbacked Fisher College | 4c | 7,425$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Fisher College | 2c | 6,960$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…e5afbacked Fisher College | 5c | 5,285$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed Fisher College | 3c | 5,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Fisher College | 3c | 3,894$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Fisher College | 4c | 3,050$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe853…8a03backed Fisher College | 1c | 2,648$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Fisher College | 1c | 2,645$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Fisher College | 4c | 2,156$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fisher College | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Fisher College | 4c | 1,959$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Fisher College | 3c | 1,289$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Fisher College | 4c | 1,254$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Fisher College | 2c | 1,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Fisher College | 4c | 1,200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fisher College | 4c | 1,054$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fisher College | 4c | 889.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Fisher College | 4c | 794.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Fisher College | 3c | 700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fisher College | 4c | 638.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed Fisher College | 4c | 544.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Fisher College | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Fisher College | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Fisher College | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Fisher College | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Fisher College | 3c | 462.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Fisher College | 4c | 394.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…14b6backed Fisher College | 4c | 367.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Fisher College | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Fisher College | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Fisher College | 4c | 277.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe546…e571backed Fisher College | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf349…3398backed Fisher College | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Fisher College | 5c | 221.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.