CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742bf78bf938b0045d1fa6c4aa33d01de17ef2e3db5900468fc5ee919b8e8796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Fisher College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Fisher College | 13c | 3,408$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.02 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Fisher College | 15c | 2,615$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…32d3backed Fisher College | 5c | 2,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Fisher College | 8c | 1,375$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Fisher College | 6c | 1,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Fisher College | 4c | 973.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fisher College | 7c | 880.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed Fisher College | 2c | 746.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Fisher College | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fisher College | 4c | 237.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a4…87c7backed Fisher College | 7c | 211.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Fisher College | 14c | 209.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fisher College | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.