CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54b78f9202b0c943dc9b90bc607ce17740158f789cd4b4a71b75afc915201a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Fisher College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Fisher College | 11c | 2,563$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.93 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fisher College | 12c | 1,462$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.17 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Fisher College | 10c | 1,352$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Fisher College | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fisher College | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Fisher College | 4c | 385.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed Fisher College | 11c | 364.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fisher College | 10c | 265.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Fisher College | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fisher College | 11c | 228.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fisher College | 14c | 209.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Fisher College | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Fisher College | 10c | 181.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Fisher College | 11c | 148.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fisher College | 15c | 140.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09a4…87c7backed Fisher College | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Fisher College | 11c | 113.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…9581backed Fisher College | 11c | 99.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.