CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeabec927cdc7e1bacbf0bcfbea09fc6a7f6db75037b1f2570030b19d0c28c453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Fisher College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Fisher College | 17c | 10,255$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.41 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Fisher College | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Fisher College | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fisher College | 14c | 887.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Fisher College | 17c | 417.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Fisher College | 14c | 365.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fisher College | 10c | 299.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Fisher College | 17c | 218.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Fisher College | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed Fisher College | 13c | 178.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed Fisher College | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -17.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Fisher College | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Fisher College | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fisher College | 17c | 88.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Fisher College | 17c | 85.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Fisher College | 15c | 70.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.