Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c3efc26ed88cdefb832cef61791abf807a40f2b3fa8db2c17fa3a63eecd3e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.97 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 9,985$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.65 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 4,508$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.87 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 51c | 3,051$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.05 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 48c | 2,873$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.88 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 75c | 1,795$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.83 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 51c | 1,247$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.79 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,026$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 53c | 1,004$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 51c | 895$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.55 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 817.87$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.11 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 809$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.32 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 687.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Yes | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 608.43$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.36 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 19c | 452.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 369.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6531…9b68backed Yes | 77c | 360$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 51c | 330.12$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 26c | 297.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 287.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Yes | 51c | 279.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Yes | 75c | 250.84$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 74c | 238.35$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 52c | 229.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…aea6backed Yes | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 55c | 181.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed No | 21c | 125.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 78c | 122.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 24c | 114.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 76c | 109.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 15c | 101.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 23c | 93.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 59c | 91.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 15c | 90.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 49c | 86.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 39c | 84.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 24c | 68.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 24c | 67.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 52c | 63.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 51c | 59.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 48c | 43.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 26c | 42.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Yes | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…3b66backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…1c3dbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 35.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 45c | 30.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 76c | 29.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 51c | 25.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…da10backed Yes | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 55c | 19.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.