Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd09f5fec3e9d168300f644dee5177f2f684a8ee317bae96a4b7d833e05b2053
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 37c | 2,395$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.15 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 63c | 2,371$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.44 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,631$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.24 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 38c | 798.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 600.72$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 4c | 506.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 504.62$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Yes | 10c | 499.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 460.71$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 26c | 381.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 71c | 260$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 37c | 183.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 115.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 37c | 92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…d39abacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Yes | 38c | 70.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Yes | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 35c | 59.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 57.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 65c | 56.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 55.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 37c | 48.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 75c | 44.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 62c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.