Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcba0111a0761951d4a8fbf2cb7cc88a88aaa71f32b0334a998f8c35453408171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 65c | 4,229$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.49 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 3,441$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 62c | 3,153$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.04 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 38c | 2,116$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.4 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 31c | 1,629$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.49 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 1,122$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 1,005$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 37c | 608.72$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.03 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…9133backed Yes | 27c | 512.53$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 415.66$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 62c | 333$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 37c | 207.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 169$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 17c | 162.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 156.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 147.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 38c | 132.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…99f7backed Yes | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 122$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…2337backed Yes | 37c | 108.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 22c | 95.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 29c | 86.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 63c | 86.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 30c | 66.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 56.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 36c | 55.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 37c | 54.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…a4d0backed Yes | 37c | 54.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 37c | 53.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed No | 64c | 49.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 37c | 40.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 65c | 38.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 36.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 49c | 31.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 63c | 23.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 64c | 19.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.