Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f164d56f129d691d095551d736620db15dc2f937fc5e53c99de6d01e614ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 3,541$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.29 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 2,777$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.52 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,722$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 1,383$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,080$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 28c | 736.34$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 379.31$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 78c | 321$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 73c | 211.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Yes | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 139.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 69c | 139.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 84.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 82.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 73c | 51.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 79c | 50.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed No | 76c | 40.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed Yes | 30c | 33.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 51c | 25.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ef…70e1backed No | 68c | 22.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 65c | 15.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.