Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d0a2b46b75a8835ea8eea365cd14c6f2830d1df1ff9e5e5c3a62b229e88f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 20,887$15,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,143.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 5,048$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.66 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 4,297$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.66 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 33c | 3,924$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.96 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 3,741$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 2,650$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.61 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 32c | 2,220$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.54 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,547$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.88 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,435$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.52 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 21c | 1,179$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.35 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 67c | 976.42$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.2 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 891$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 73c | 799.99$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.99 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe716…3120backed Yes | 32c | 668.21$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 49c | 546$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.12 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 496$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.56 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 20c | 331.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.74 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 32c | 278.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.13 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 5c | 256.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 59c | 243.9$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 14c | 237.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 56c | 223.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 219.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 14c | 209.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…e502backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 12c | 150.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 28c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 68c | 143$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 107$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Yes | 28c | 92.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 30c | 91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 76c | 87.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…e37abacked Yes | 77c | 85.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 71c | 85.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed No | 75c | 65.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…efb2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 69c | 62.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 24c | 57.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Yes | 32c | 51.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 27c | 50.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed No | 70c | 50.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 39c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked No | 62c | 44.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 70c | 41.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 71c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 73c | 26.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 19.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 18.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 80c | 18.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…0865backed No | 72c | 17.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.