Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a30115fd5fd61d63696ee2ae7663e12fe45c25f8bbd5e81d7eb2bca12c4d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 29c | 9,275$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.1 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 73c | 8,856$6,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 31c | 8,191$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed No | 19c | 7,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 3,534$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.59 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 71c | 3,135$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 73c | 2,139$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,742$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.6 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 1,417$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.24 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Yes | 69c | 1,300$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 69c | 1,250$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…46d6backed Yes | 72c | 899.86$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 71c | 845$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…3f82backed Yes | 72c | 620.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 26c | 582.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…9042backed Yes | 39c | 513.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 40c | 501.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac14backed Yes | 41c | 368.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 28c | 301.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 278.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Yes | 79c | 265$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked No | 13c | 215.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 73c | 178.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 71c | 150.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 73c | 147.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Yes | 71c | 140.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b69dbacked Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 72c | 139.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 73c | 138$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 31c | 103.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 39c | 91.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f27…4377backed Yes | 71c | 79.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 74c | 70.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 66c | 67.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 53.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 29c | 48.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yes | 73c | 41.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 72c | 34.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 69c | 31.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…ba06backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fc…7738backed Yes | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…ea0bbacked Yes | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 69c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2025-10-29?No won
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.