Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619974d23b610683e156df3d8c9bf793cba7d4c7c02f6df5bedbea59031ab45c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 35c | 12,801$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.33 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 8,243$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.45 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 10c | 5,969$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.08 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 5,628$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.8 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.97 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 4,894$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.18 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 35c | 4,546$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,496$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 37c | 3,333$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.2 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…4daabacked No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 66c | 2,745$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed Yes | 35c | 1,903$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,860$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.23 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,622$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 75c | 1,533$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.89 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,205$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.75 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 12c | 773.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed Yes | 65c | 685.26$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 62c | 669.06$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 35c | 582.25$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 558.14$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…8e69backed Yes | 20c | 506.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 438.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 3c | 438.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 402.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 65c | 393$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 348.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 341.25$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 20c | 331.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 56c | 306.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +815.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 20c | 301.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 33c | 280$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 277.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 65c | 262.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 35c | 253.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 12c | 249.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 26c | 248.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 8c | 236.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 70c | 215.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 22c | 212$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…6487backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…f3c8backed Yes | 26c | 193.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked No | 28c | 180.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 28c | 180.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…2e29backed Yes | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 50c | 159.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…5c3fbacked Yes | 29c | 145.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 35c | 142.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 32c | 140.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…175bbacked Yes | 36c | 140.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 77c | 139.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 61c | 136.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 15c | 119.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 119.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 32c | 119$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 9c | 118.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 24c | 102.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 35c | 94.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 35c | 87.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b3…5c29backed Yes | 35c | 84.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 26c | 83.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 65c | 79.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed No | 65c | 74.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 26c | 70.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 23c | 68.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 39c | 61.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2a87backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 26c | 54.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 67c | 51.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.