Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad9bff6f0ffe4dbcb28d1766454d11b30b93f699ce185dc5ae80997421dadc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 42,432$18,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,245.76 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 59c | 35,000$20,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,349.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 33,430$20,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,332.96 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 41c | 30,001$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 26c | 9,549$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.78 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 58c | 8,319$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 6,563$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.75 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 41c | 4,767$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.46 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 2,763$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.62 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 54c | 1,957$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.37 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 1,772$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.97 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,001$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.92 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 45c | 861$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.44 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 772.34$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 587.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.89 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 59c | 510$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 45c | 370.38$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 42c | 358$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 42c | 269.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 41c | 232.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 231.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 41c | 216$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 42c | 173.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 58c | 172.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 161.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…9514backed Yes | 38c | 145$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 72c | 138.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…b7bbbacked No | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 60c | 112.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…d7c1backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…7db9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 46c | 93.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 93.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 14c | 90.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 13c | 79.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 26c | 77.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked No | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…bf10backed Yes | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed Yes | 53c | 61.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…d768backed Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 59c | 55.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…40bfbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…8aa8backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 42.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 58c | 40.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…9b59backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…2b98backed Yes | 43c | 34.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.