Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6bf26a44d67fd696fdcf4ae72fc1a39a30a859cde6630315a77468f5b706e53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 38c | 536.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.86 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 402.61$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 260.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 4c | 259$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 36c | 154$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 39c | 127.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Under | 63c | 95.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 69.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 35c | 68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 62c | 59.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 60c | 52.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 62c | 49.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 38c | 45.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 66c | 40.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 34c | 40.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Under | 64c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Under | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…6c72backed Over | 46c | 30.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Under | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Under | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Under | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Under | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 69c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.