Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8183d2135c83ab8393bcff89270115da7b1b1c8f5af27795f77bdd4888d3065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 27,612$10,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,473.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.92 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 62c | 9,402$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.57 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 38c | 1,367$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.36 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 38c | 1,170$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.69 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 62c | 1,017$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.58 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 62c | 934.9$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.26 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 38c | 457.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 38c | 444.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 38c | 431$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 38c | 326.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 63c | 318.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 37c | 277.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 271.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 38c | 242.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 38c | 213$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 63c | 151.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 40c | 124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 38c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 60c | 19.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Over | 63c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.