La Liga · resolved market
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eb9d662478918401df5629c8b7b1a6b8df1589f6e187c03fad2257da11db619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 684.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 406.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 342.31$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 65c | 265.05$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 70c | 249.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 57c | 178.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 68c | 121$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 101.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed No | 68c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 68c | 78.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 58c | 75.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 70c | 47.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Yes | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Yes | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 32c | 32.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.