Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7592e1038d69b5dd01c28355efd1907d5e809f44ff4b826a78ef2112ecfaac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 7c | 4,007$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 688.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 56c | 621.43$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 36c | 611.78$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 533.98$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.86 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 493.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 421.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 403.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 4c | 264$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 193.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 26c | 185$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…1d14backed No | 74c | 52.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…897bbacked Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed No | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 51c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.