La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar vs. UD Almería end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x570172015e115af1e67f17860dec86c9a2d005cbc87d9f2fdfee30c63eb31d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 56c | 900$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 578.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 539.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 502$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 456.85$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.57 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed No | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 328.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 77c | 296.62$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 277.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 62c | 166.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 29c | 98.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 83.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 48c | 82.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 76.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 42c | 73.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 32c | 36.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 71c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 33.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…5ea2backed Yes | 60c | 32.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 60c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar vs. UD Almería end in a draw?this page
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.