Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85181718ed709f2583349ff450444f9c43d2a6aba7291200c2a5c0b51d2823ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 3,939$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.46 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 3,414$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.35 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed 1win | 54c | 3,350$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.56 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 2,937$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.57 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 41c | 2,441$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.7 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed 1win | 53c | 1,974$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.21 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 44c | 1,801$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.87 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 1,786$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.3 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 1,752$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.13 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 1,613$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.48 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 43c | 1,468$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.48 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked 1win | 49c | 1,443$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.72 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 46c | 1,106$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.99 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 719.11$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.13 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 617.04$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.71 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked 1win | 37c | 602.33$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.54 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 593.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked 1win | 54c | 544.44$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.25 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…ff69backed 1win | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 500$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.24 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80e…ca76backed 1win | 40c | 446.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked 1win | 54c | 398.34$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed 1win | 43c | 370.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed 1win | 47c | 357.74$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 340.88$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.41 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8a0bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 339.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked 1win | 68c | 332.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.23 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 305$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed 1win | 53c | 279.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 247.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed 1win | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked 1win | 46c | 193.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…4b76backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 163.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 160.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 159.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 1win | 38c | 109.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed 1win | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 94.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…90b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 92.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 35c | 87.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 82.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed 1win | 34c | 77.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 74.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 72.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed 1win | 48c | 58.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked 1win | 35c | 55.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…f645backed 1win | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 46.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 37.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked 1win | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1win | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.