Tennis · resolved market
Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Santamarta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cf84a6711e7a9d78f094bc27510d2b5ea9630a41b35770c26a7589397fbba24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maks Kasnikowskiof Maks Kasnikowski, Andres Santamarta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Maks Kasnikowski | 77c | 2,598$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.53 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andres Santamarta | 22c | 2,480$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.43 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Andres Santamarta | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andres Santamarta | 18c | 1,596$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 1,475$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.58 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andres Santamarta | 42c | 1,334$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 1,327$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.07 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Andres Santamarta | 11c | 1,028$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maks Kasnikowski | 62c | 1,019$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 927$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.07 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andres Santamarta | 27c | 758.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Andres Santamarta | 41c | 524.88$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 506.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.16 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Andres Santamarta | 41c | 500.37$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maks Kasnikowski | 68c | 495$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Andres Santamarta | 41c | 484.48$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 473.32$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Andres Santamarta | 41c | 400.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Andres Santamarta | 15c | 363.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Andres Santamarta | 22c | 356.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Andres Santamarta | 30c | 326.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 57c | 321.03$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Andres Santamarta | 21c | 301.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Maks Kasnikowski | 78c | 297.37$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Andres Santamarta | 41c | 280$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked Andres Santamarta | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Andres Santamarta | 21c | 197.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Andres Santamarta | 22c | 195.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Andres Santamarta | 22c | 186.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Andres Santamarta | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Andres Santamarta | 40c | 154.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Andres Santamarta | 38c | 141.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Andres Santamarta | 40c | 103.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda73…ec4fbacked Andres Santamarta | 41c | 101.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Andres Santamarta | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Andres Santamarta | 42c | 93.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Andres Santamarta | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Andres Santamarta | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Andres Santamarta | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed Maks Kasnikowski | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Andres Santamarta | 25c | 59.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Andres Santamarta | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 51.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…0409backed Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Maks Kasnikowski | 78c | 46.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…b70dbacked Andres Santamarta | 44c | 45.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Andres Santamarta | 25c | 40.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Andres Santamarta | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Andres Santamarta | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Maks Kasnikowski | 56c | 33.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Andres Santamarta | 34c | 31.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Maks Kasnikowski | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Andres Santamarta | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Maks Kasnikowski | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Maks Kasnikowski | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.