NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba501b7e136c1ea0afcb8664a59367347dfbf326a6a3ca7a5299baff61ff19a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,994 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 4,522$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.01 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 1,755$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 1,160$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.07 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 61c | 630.57$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.55 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 444$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 74c | 403.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 336.81$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 45c | 281.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 215.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 192.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 46c | 176.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 73c | 166.66$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 154.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 150.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 53c | 148.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…cf45backed Over | 69c | 135.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 36c | 123.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 45c | 108.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 54c | 85.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 34c | 77.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 44c | 77.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 42c | 76.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 14c | 73.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 49.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 72c | 40.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 48c | 38.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 36c | 34.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 51c | 30.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 30.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 45c | 28.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 56c | 27.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.