Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x859844805f264f45dccfa5f3e8a4ca0c619243c61e9cdba4b3ae385ae357924e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 4,664$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 42c | 3,188$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.45 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 1,447$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.66 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.72 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 1,004$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Under | 59c | 955.69$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 938.4$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.98 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 741$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.74 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 546.34$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 59c | 492.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 42c | 460.47$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Under | 58c | 442.57$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 408.86$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…234abacked Under | 58c | 351.62$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed Under | 58c | 332.16$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 282.21$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 228.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 208.49$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Under | 59c | 169.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…e9cdbacked Under | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 148.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 144.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 36c | 129.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 117.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b73fbacked Over | 42c | 98.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 74c | 59.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 38c | 44.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…2bd0backed Over | 39c | 36.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 40c | 26.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 41c | 24.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 41c | 24.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 61c | 22.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 65c | 19.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 67c | 18.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 61c | 17.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Kocaelispor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.