Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcd18d393fd6f009f5348ab8065df21aa1a7e20f960867fd86c5ba15df180cbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 47c | 9,151$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.86 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 4,165$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 3,914$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.98 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 838.27$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.83 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 67c | 551.06$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.68 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 435.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.12 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 378.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 292.6$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 17c | 283.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 78c | 216.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 203.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 168.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 148$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 56c | 130.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 127.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 66c | 111.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 110.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 12c | 98.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 50c | 82.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Over | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 67c | 59.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 57.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 76c | 56.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 60c | 50.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 68c | 49.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 53c | 46.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 45.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 59c | 43.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 54c | 42.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 31c | 35.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 32c | 31.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 68c | 30.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Over | 41c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 54c | 26.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 53c | 25.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 59c | 24.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Over | 52c | 21.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Kocaelispor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.