MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65fffda591659b786d523f4f3c62cba76a7e8faf4657218b70c55c368f8300e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Pittsburgh Pirates, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.99 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 37,879$18,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,370.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 22,109$10,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,623.52 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 20,399$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,403.34 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 15,504$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.04 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 8,789$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.05 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 3,436$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 3,131$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,600$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 2,351$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,860$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.61 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,229$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,136$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.34 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,005$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.28 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 958$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.26 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 934.34$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.48 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 928.82$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 807$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.83 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 804.16$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.68 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 763.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 603.75$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.02 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 343.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 286.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 244.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 244$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 239.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 235.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 227.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 221.79$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 189.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 172.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 156$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 155.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 149.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 144.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 122.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 115.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 100.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 98.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 86.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 84.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 81.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 74.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 73.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 48.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 47.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 47.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 39.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 36.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…7cfabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.