CS2 · resolved market
Will Parivision make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7560d7dd66b9147803ac353cbd9ffa253be05d9c137acc92f22f66f7cf814681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 44c | 2,532$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.26 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 56c | 2,177$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.2 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 57c | 434$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 105.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 13c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Yes | 23c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…4020backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…8218backed Yes | 77c | 47.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 48c | 44.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed Yes | 32c | 34.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parivision make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? this page
- Will 9z make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Aurora make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Furia make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? Yes won
- Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Team Spirit make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will The MongolZ make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Vitality make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.