IPO · resolved market
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.75B and $9.00B at market close on IPO day?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf14ad8f188890b1debc5138548e297a2a0e44be7f9ab83df28351c5d93dafdc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Yes | 39c | 1,078$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 39c | 770$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 61c | 735$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 10c | 703$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…d6debacked No | 61c | 518$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked Yes | 39c | 502$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 61c | 454$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Yes | 39c | 454$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed No | 61c | 354$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed No | 61c | 337$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 39c | 337$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed No | 61c | 297$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 61c | 286$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 39c | 286$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed No | 61c | 253$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…1160backed Yes | 39c | 253$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 61c | 252$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…38d2backed No | 61c | 148$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 59c | 126$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3ea7backed No | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…57eebacked Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.75B and $9.00B at market close on IPO day?this page
- Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.25B and $8.50B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.50B and $8.75B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be greater than $9.00B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be less than $8.00B at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.