NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19be154a7d53ea6179440059a88296014e508769bde30ee229cc4209e9379dd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Golden Knights, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 57,600$26,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,537.19 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…89cbbacked Oilers | 52c | 31,900$16,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…d16abacked Golden Knights | 48c | 31,900$15,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Golden Knights | 18c | 28,237$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.89 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Oilers | 58c | 24,606$14,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,387.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 49c | 22,000$10,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,260 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Oilers | 53c | 18,975$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,875.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5feb…0e4dbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 14,249$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Oilers | 51c | 13,311$6,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.63 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Oilers | 57c | 11,002$6,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717.68 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Golden Knights | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers | 53c | 9,175$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.67 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oilers | 68c | 8,078$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.29 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Golden Knights | 20c | 6,046$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.02 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…3f06backed Golden Knights | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Golden Knights | 18c | 3,367$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.31 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 76c | 2,890$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.43 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights | 20c | 2,764$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.98 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Golden Knights | 26c | 2,543$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.52 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.03 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Oilers | 67c | 1,740$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.14 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Oilers | 69c | 1,355$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.14 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Oilers | 70c | 1,217$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.59 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Oilers | 67c | 1,183$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +689.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 1,125$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.86 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Oilers | 68c | 1,053$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked Oilers | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…2382backed Golden Knights | 18c | 950.12$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…3eecbacked Oilers | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights | 31c | 857.09$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights | 32c | 850.31$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.1 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Golden Knights | 23c | 744.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Golden Knights | 34c | 741.88$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.31 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Oilers | 56c | 733.21$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.21 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Golden Knights | 48c | 712$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Golden Knights | 33c | 569.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Golden Knights | 32c | 499.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Oilers | 52c | 493.62$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.94 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Golden Knights | 42c | 483.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Oilers | 73c | 432$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Golden Knights | 25c | 267.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Golden Knights | 22c | 254$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 235.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…3e7abacked Golden Knights | 33c | 233.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…6527backed Golden Knights | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Golden Knights | 30c | 208$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Golden Knights | 30c | 204$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Oilers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 194.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Oilers | 78c | 128$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Golden Knights | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Golden Knights | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Oilers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Oilers | 65c | 84.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Oilers | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Golden Knights | 48c | 69.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Golden Knights | 49c | 68.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Golden Knights | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8690…be3abacked Oilers | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Oilers | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…e51dbacked Oilers | 68c | 39.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Oilers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…ab53backed Oilers | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…4ddabacked Golden Knights | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a50…7f3abacked Oilers | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…2fcdbacked Oilers | 52c | 23.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68e…f152backed Oilers | 67c | 23.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…61bbbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 21.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…5017backed Oilers | 52c | 20.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…612cbacked Oilers | 68c | 19.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.