WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda0efbad41e6df4b62466719b54bf92308a8313ca7fab75ff8db44dde8f77f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Sky | 21c | 9,336$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Fever | 79c | 7,175$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.68 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 22c | 4,156$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.26 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 79c | 2,712$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.6 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Fever | 78c | 2,200$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Fever | 78c | 1,645$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Fever | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…9d9ebacked Fever | 78c | 1,479$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Sky | 9c | 1,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…f499backed Fever | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4542…cba2backed Sky | 19c | 271.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 18c | 204.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Fever | 78c | 166$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Fever | 79c | 163.22$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fever | 79c | 156$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 21c | 75.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Fever | 80c | 45.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Fever | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.