Champions League · resolved market
Will PSG win in regulation?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a01248a5c4f69b97aa349dcb2249ed8988847fdf44075f8f8358acf0d08b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 38c | 28,982$11,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,862.6 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…2ecabacked Yes | 62c | 21,243$13,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,244.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 44c | 6,885$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.85 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 40c | 5,413$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.88 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…e6fcbacked Yes | 61c | 4,484$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…089dbacked Yes | 59c | 4,401$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 41c | 4,377$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.43 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…9222backed Yes | 60c | 4,223$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…972fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,469$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 38c | 2,296$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.65 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed9a…8dd2backed Yes | 6c | 2,059$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,058$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…fec4backed Yes | 59c | 681.58$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…5ebdbacked Yes | 60c | 560$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…31e9backed No | 44c | 482.41$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…3abdbacked Yes | 59c | 474.27$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Yes | 61c | 409.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…8e47backed No | 44c | 407.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90cc…8b0ebacked Yes | 59c | 403.78$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 41c | 393.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…8936backed Yes | 61c | 392.35$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 58c | 385.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…e8c5backed Yes | 79c | 385.9$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Yes | 61c | 347.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed Yes | 62c | 283.31$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 40c | 268.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 58c | 250$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 60c | 190$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed No | 42c | 169.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…c352backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 43c | 162$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked No | 44c | 157.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked No | 43c | 156.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 34c | 146.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 59c | 133.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 50c | 126.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…0c88backed Yes | 58c | 121.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ce…b5d6backed Yes | 61c | 104$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…63e0backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 59c | 89.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 44c | 81.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 56c | 80.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 57c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 61c | 76.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 62c | 72.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed No | 42c | 56.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4d…69fcbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…fc54backed Yes | 62c | 48.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…29e4backed Yes | 60c | 35.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc191…488fbacked Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…6628backed Yes | 61c | 32.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…53b9backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…bc1fbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…1081backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9607…d222backed Yes | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSG win in regulation?this page
- Will Chelsea win in extra time?No won
- Will Chelsea win in penalties?No won
- Will Chelsea win in regulation?Yes won
- Will PSG win in extra time?No won
- Will PSG win in penalties?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.