Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Team from West wins March Madness?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b803c22c2efba94c74645b85b9527fb948626f7fa0590f8b01c54543826790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 26c | 10,025$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,440.16 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 27c | 4,061$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.89 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…1906backed No | 75c | 2,013$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 76c | 1,617$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.79 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 61c | 1,307$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.84 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 74c | 1,200$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.91 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed No | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…8ae0backed No | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…9132backed No | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…51f3backed Yes | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…6575backed No | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 75c | 812$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.89 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…6d37backed Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…af56backed Yes | 52c | 795$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed Yes | 52c | 775$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…a888backed No | 48c | 770$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…865bbacked No | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…9151backed No | 48c | 730$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3842…f0b4backed No | 48c | 730$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…bfccbacked Yes | 52c | 720$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…019dbacked Yes | 52c | 710$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…4402backed Yes | 52c | 710$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25d…eb15backed Yes | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…9d1bbacked No | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…e8c0backed No | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3a75backed No | 48c | 605$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 23c | 597.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.92 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…a77bbacked Yes | 52c | 595$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3cbebacked Yes | 52c | 590$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed No | 48c | 575$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…b1b4backed No | 48c | 575$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 14c | 570$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…834bbacked Yes | 52c | 505$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…d484backed No | 48c | 505$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…16e0backed Yes | 52c | 505$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked Yes | 52c | 470$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…1544backed No | 48c | 455$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f528backed No | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…f1cebacked No | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 77c | 417.42$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.41 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…0e7abacked No | 48c | 395$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…394ebacked No | 48c | 385$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 33c | 376.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.09 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…f3b9backed No | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…b336backed No | 48c | 370$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…8410backed Yes | 52c | 365$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…5d73backed No | 48c | 355$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…029ebacked No | 48c | 355$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…b081backed No | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…fe8abacked Yes | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae2…7e82backed Yes | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked No | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…7123backed Yes | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…7ffbbacked No | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…dfadbacked No | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…d61abacked Yes | 52c | 285$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…95fcbacked Yes | 52c | 285$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…5bb4backed Yes | 52c | 285$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 280.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…ee41backed No | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bee5backed No | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…e76ebacked No | 48c | 270$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…f7c2backed Yes | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…95a8backed Yes | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…43b5backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…2ec9backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd67…e79fbacked No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…f59bbacked Yes | 52c | 235$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…11e7backed Yes | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…b1a7backed Yes | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed No | 73c | 200$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…d991backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf54…5abbbacked Yes | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…208ebacked Yes | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…6a67backed Yes | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…118bbacked No | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…f555backed No | 48c | 165$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef6…dc43backed Yes | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…55afbacked Yes | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…cd43backed Yes | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90c…82e8backed Yes | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…68a7backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 23c | 147.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…2daabacked No | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…245abacked No | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a83…e78ebacked No | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…6fd2backed No | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 23c | 139.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…97c7backed Yes | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…5b56backed Yes | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…b48bbacked Yes | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…0338backed Yes | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6c38backed No | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…5916backed Yes | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7a…e5d7backed Yes | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 46c | 124$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…602dbacked No | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…959abacked No | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team from West wins March Madness?this page
- Team from East wins March Madness?No won
- Team from Midwest wins March Madness?No won
- Team from South wins March Madness?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.