Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Team from Midwest wins March Madness?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x144a93ad40dabe71c2bde8074f0fe8dc3433ee570c85ebd1f22418ca9ce88c59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 18c | 1,664$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.45 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 49c | 1,484$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.16 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed No | 51c | 999.12$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef6…dc43backed Yes | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 21c | 765$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 13c | 665$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 15c | 650.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 632.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a83…e78ebacked No | 52c | 565$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1a2dbacked No | 52c | 565$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…a104backed Yes | 48c | 510$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…f555backed Yes | 48c | 470$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…dfadbacked Yes | 48c | 470$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 15c | 440.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked No | 52c | 435$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…df01backed Yes | 23c | 431.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 18c | 421.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…ee41backed No | 52c | 345$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…a888backed Yes | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…5bb1backed Yes | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 20c | 271.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…feecbacked No | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 15c | 238.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9cbcbacked No | 52c | 235$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…2a06backed Yes | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aef…b1d9backed Yes | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…44c1backed No | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…5b56backed No | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked No | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…dc5ebacked No | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…08efbacked No | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f528backed No | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…01f2backed No | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 22c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…b081backed Yes | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e2…7709backed Yes | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…769abacked No | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…97c7backed No | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…1e9abacked Yes | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…8660backed No | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…6fd2backed No | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d8a5backed No | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3c…710abacked Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…9151backed No | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…a761backed Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d6…956bbacked No | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…c16dbacked No | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2a20backed No | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d9…50c5backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…fbe9backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…526abacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b2…c0b0backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…2731backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…93b3backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…2b47backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…6364backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…ec24backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3197…d75abacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team from Midwest wins March Madness?this page
- Team from East wins March Madness?No won
- Team from South wins March Madness?No won
- Team from West wins March Madness?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.