WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce46de576effc3ed2a0bbc42d343ae2fca61c128de7eb723e87a00728205b734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Valkyries, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 46c | 5,935$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.02 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mystics | 49c | 4,105$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.77 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 38c | 3,050$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mystics | 42c | 2,497$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.9 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 62c | 2,164$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.62 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mystics | 63c | 2,107$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.19 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Valkyries | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Valkyries | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…506cbacked Mystics | 55c | 1,123$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Valkyries | 47c | 986.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Valkyries | 60c | 930.11$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 15c | 815$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mystics | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mystics | 64c | 790$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.46 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Mystics | 24c | 736$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 2c | 670$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…4e2abacked Valkyries | 38c | 648.18$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed Mystics | 62c | 614.8$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Mystics | 63c | 497$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Mystics | 63c | 452.28$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Mystics | 34c | 351.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mystics | 66c | 351.58$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Valkyries | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries | 64c | 344.29$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Valkyries | 37c | 327.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…3203backed Mystics | 63c | 310$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Valkyries | 35c | 271.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Mystics | 65c | 266.46$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 38c | 263.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mystics | 54c | 241.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mystics | 41c | 237.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Valkyries | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries | 33c | 184.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mystics | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…e0a5backed Valkyries | 37c | 174$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Valkyries | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Mystics | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c260backed Valkyries | 37c | 136$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Valkyries | 38c | 132.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 24c | 107.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Valkyries | 77c | 106.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mystics | 63c | 101.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Mystics | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Valkyries | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…077cbacked Valkyries | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Valkyries | 40c | 69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Mystics | 59c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Valkyries | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Valkyries | 36c | 57.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mystics | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mystics | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Valkyries | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Valkyries | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Valkyries | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Mystics | 63c | 23.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.