MLB · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 MLB World Series?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050b6ec226d9659a6e37afa9607cc27e8388804d312d8765a64d758cf96ae428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 49c | 690.02$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 67c | 439.39$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 400$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 48c | 322.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 35c | 286.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 46c | 286$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 56c | 177.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…5df6backed Yes | 69c | 175$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…7073backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…b1bbbacked No | 50c | 134.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 58c | 100.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 26c | 98.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 83.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…c43ebacked Yes | 69c | 69.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…da10backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 56c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 MLB World Series?this page
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers be eliminated in the Division Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers be eliminated in the League Championship Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers be eliminated in the Wild Card Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers lose the World Series?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.